Developing anti-fragile systems, processes and world-views can be seen as a Non Predictive Strategy for approaching uncertainty (past, present or future):

Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure, risk, and uncertainty. Yet, in spite of the ubiquity of the phenomenon, there is no word for the exact opposite of fragile. Let us call it antifragile. Antifragility is beyond resilience or robustness. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better. -Taleb

  1. Pursue barbell approaches
  2. Focus on options
  3. Be curious
  4. Get out of your comfort zone
  5. Focus on the edge
  6. Conduct lots of experiments and tinker
  7. Don’t get consumed by data
  8. Focus on building/accessing tacit knowledge rather than rationality and explicit knowledge
  9. Focus on subtractive knowledge
  10. Collaborate and trade
  11. Respect the old
  12. Beware of wealth, debt and reputation

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2012). Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder. Penguin Books

Further notes in Taleb Robustness and Fragility and Antifragility

  • futurist_fieldguide/antifragility.txt
  • Last modified: 2015-09-10 09:46
  • by maja